If I were you, I would place weak bids on all four Retreat categories. Remember once you place your bids, usually the system allows you to modify your bids for a certain amount of time. I did this in hopes of increasing my odds of a bid being accepted. There are only a few days before I sail, and all of my bids are still showing as pending and I can still modify them. There are quite a few unknowns and unsolved mysteries regarding the MoveUp process.