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Carnival dream in subtropical storm Alberto


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The national hurricane center just upgraded the system in the Caribbean to sub tropical storm Alberto. In their forecast discussion they mentioned to ship that sailed through this morning and measured 45 not wins. It turns out that ship was the carnival dream.

 

 

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The good news is it is named "sub-tropical" which is a weak tropical system. That's not the ideal conditions to cruise in, but as far as storms go this time of year, that's pretty weak.

 

I think the "subtropical" designation has more to do with the storm's location and other meteorological factors, not just the storm's wind strength. (A bit like "post-tropical.") Plus, the storm is "early." :)

 

The "Discussion" portion of the NHC's storm information suite will often provide fascinating insights as to their reasoning.

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Sub tropical refers to the storms core (cold core low vs. a warm core), many systems early/late in the season will either start sub tropical or transition to this when they encounter colder waters. But the designation should not matter, it is messy and disorganized but is expected to strengthen to Tropical storm by Sunday... ships will avoid the core of the storm but there will probably be some bumpy seas the next few days...

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Sub tropical refers to the storms core (cold core low vs. a warm core), many systems early/late in the season will either start sub tropical or transition to this when they encounter colder waters.

 

Yes, this is correct. The most recent Alberto discussion states

 

Deep convection near the center remains minimal, so the cyclone is still subtropical, and it appears that the window of opportunity for Alberto to become tropical has essentially closed.

 

....So Alberto will never become a "real" tropical storm.

Poor Alberto. Knocked on the door but couldn't get in.

 

But the designation should not matter, it is messy and disorganized but is expected to strengthen to Tropical storm by Sunday... ships will avoid the core of the storm but there will probably be some bumpy seas the next few days...
Highest wind-speed is 65 right now, so it's on the high end of the tropical storm-force scale...clearly the "subtropical" tag is not related to the storm system's strength.

"He" is certainly going to cause a lot of flooding headaches in the Southeast, including here in the Atlanta metro. Our last brush with a Tropical Storm Alberto back in 1994 resulted in widespread severe flooding and $1 billion in damages...in 1994 dollars. :o

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  • 1 month later...

We cruised through Hurricane Harvey last year when it was a littl' tiny storm- by the time we "circled-back-around" it was a devastating Hurricane and we got 5 more days on our Western/Eastern Caribbean cruise

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