Tropical Weather Update 530 pm Wed Jul 21

[TVMet]

Tropical Weather Outlook

National Hurricane Center Miami Fl

530 Pm Edt Wed Jul 21 2004

 

For The North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea And The Gulf Of Mexico...

 

Thunderstorm activity with the topical wave south of Haiti has

changed little in organization this afternoon...and there is no

evidence of a cosed surface circulation. Upper-level winds have

become somewhat more favorable...and there is the potential for

slow development during the next day or so. Even if this system

does not develop into a tropical cyclone...locally heavy rains will

affect portions of Hispaniola tonight and likely reach Jamaica on

Thursday as the wave moves West-northwestward at about 20 Mph.

These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud

slides in mountainous areas.

 

The reconnaissance aircraft scheduled for this afternoon was

cancelled due to mechanical problems. Another aircraft is

scheduled to iInvestigate the system Thursday Morning...if

necessary.

 

Elsewhere...tropical Storm formation is not expected through

Thursday.

 

Forecaster Beven

$$

[GoinCruisin]

It's a good thing I cancelled that cruise to Hispaniola, i would have gotten rained on!