Fay could impact many cruise routes

[TVMet]

Official forecast is for a tropical storm, but a 30% chance of a hurricane.

 

http://www.baynews9.com/images/wx/HURRICANE1.JPG?21

 

BULLETIN

TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008

800 PM AST FRI AUG 15 2008

 

...TROPICAL STORM FAY MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS HISPANIOLA...

 

 

AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS

ESTIMATED TO BE INLAND OVER HISPANIOLA NEAR LATITUDE 18.6

NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.2 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES... 55 KM...

WEST-NORTHWEST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND ABOUT

335 MILES...540 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.

 

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. A GENERAL

MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR

SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE

ACROSS HISPANIOLA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...AND PASS NEAR OR OVER

EASTERN CUBA SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

 

SHIP OBERVATIONS AND DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT

THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75

KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE OCCURING MAINLY OVER

WATER TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN

STRENGTH IS EXPECTED WHILE THE CENTER OF FAY IS OVER HISPANIOLA.

 

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM

PRIMARILY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

 

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

 

TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET FEET ABOVE NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE

WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.

 

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8

INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA AND EASTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM

AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING

FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.