Two for the Pacific

[*Mach*]

Although there's a pretty good probability that these systems will develop they're tracking west at good speed and shouldn't be a factor for the cruise industry...

000

ABPZ20 KNHC 031130

TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

500 AM PDT MON AUG 3 2009

 

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

 

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF

THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED

OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR

ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL

DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OR

WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30

TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING

THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

 

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW

PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA

CALIFORNIA HAVE INCREASED AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST

SEVERAL HOURS. THIS SYSTEM ALSO HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO

A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD

TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH. THERE IS A MEDIUM

CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL

CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE

NEXT 48 HOURS.

 

$$

FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS