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About tcfc424

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  1. I noticed also that the companies are getting their ships together, versus co-mingled. I also saw that Liberty of the Seas is headed to Cococay after hanging out in the Gulf for the suspension period. I'm wondering if they're not gathering crew for repatriation. There was a RUMOR about cruises restarting from Galveston August 1...given that Caribbean ports might not be the most receptive to cruise ships, could they be planning a trial run for a 7-day cruise from Galveston to Cococay, with Cococay being the only port? Majesty of the Seas is also in the Gulf with a destination of Cococay.
  2. The ability to test for antibodies may prove to be the "lightning in a bottle." Quarantine would be risky all around, as just one fly can ruin the fruit. Additionally, the rapid COVID-19 tests (15 minutes) may be beneficial as well...for crew and passengers, perhaps. IF cruising were to resume by the end of May, barring some stellar discovery that eating an apple a day prevents the disease (example only), health checks of some sort will be required. In another thread someone mentioned that they should require additional insurance...not altogether a bad option as we have seen that medevac is required in some cases.
  3. It's hard for Royal to offer guidance when their crystal ball is broken. A lot of the future regarding Allure is dependent upon the shipyard in Cadiz (or others, providing the appropriate marine requirements can be carried out elsewhere). Spain could open back up at the end of April and get the Allure in, then six weeks later she could be ready for cruises in the Med later this summer. Alternatively, Spain could open back up, then close back down three weeks later due to spiking numbers...way too many variables for them to be able to make a call at this point. I can certainly understand everyone's desire for certainty...I'm right there too...I travel extensively for work...but the only thing certain right now is uncertainty. I would assume that Royal has contingency plans in place for Allure that look like a flow chart on steroids...the problem is the answers are not yet available to progress to the next step in that flow.
  4. I would like to see where this is on the IRS website, can you direct me to the link please?
  5. So...getting back on topic and away from politics and the blame game... The source article only mentions a couple of ships that are sailing their crew home...and they appear to me to be all Australia/Asia ships, some of which were scheduled to cross the Pacific and take up Alaska sailings. In many discussions on this site, with Canadian ports closed until July (I think?) that greatly shortened the anticipated Alaskan cruise season, if not rendered it completely pointless. From that perspective, they may have thrown the towel in on those cruises through the summer and it would make sense to get their crews home. If this were to be taking place with all the ships currently anchored around the Bahamas, that would be a much bigger issue, indicating that the Caribbean summer cruise season had been completely written off as well. Since I do not see those ships doing this (although there are some tenders in the water), I wouldn't rule out a mid-May or June return to cruising in this region...yet. The tenders very well could be undergoing functional checks/transferring supplies versus requiring each ship to port for resupply. All that said, I think a mid-May restart is overly optimistic. I would anticipate mid-June or July for cruising restarts. I believe a lot of crew comes from Asia and you might see some tendering of Asian crew members to a ship, then have the cruise lines charter a couple of aircraft from south Florida (or the Bahamas) to Asian hubs as they are able.
  6. I would tend to agree that some of the smaller, older ships may not sail again under the RCI flag. Looking forward, however, which is tough at the moment, the cruise lines were bringing tons of new cruisers into the fold with the size and amenities offered by the Oasis class ships, especially. Things are going to be tough in the short-term, but the recovery from this requires a long-term view. Ships take a long time to build and by the time Odyssey/Wonder/Icon are launched, we could already be well on the road to recovery, though that is yet to be seen/known. Think about how fast technology advances, and how much the world embraces that. Ten years ago, being able to communicate from/to a ship was a relative luxury. Now, it's a standard feature (for better or worse). That will be the future of the cruise industry...ships that offer the newest/latest/greatest "things." I know that's not a popular view among the seasoned cruisers on this forum, but as a 41-year old that has just recently begun embarking on this wonderful life we call cruising, my family demands these things on a vacation. Being in Texas, I would love to sail out of Galveston on some of those itineraries being loaded for 2021...Cartagena, Key West, and others, but not on the ships they're using. For my wife and I, they'd be great. I have a 5-year old and an 11-year old, however, and I would absolutely lose it if they said "I'm bored, there's nothing to do." We sailed on Liberty and it was perfect! Looking down the road, RCI needs to understand who their target market will be...the people that will continue their brand loyalty into 2030 and beyond. I certainly do not mean to disrespect anyone here, please know that is not my intention. I do understand that at the beginning of this year, the people who make up the bulk of RCI's cruisers are the ones who have been cruising for many years, and I'm not trying to understate their importance. Some have been sidelined (and may be for the short-term at least) from cruising by the doctor's note requirement. Others may make the decision that they are vulnerable going forward and will defer on their desire to cruise. Those in the (relatively) less affected age groups will likely be the first you'll see returning in bulk to cruising. We're booked for Thanksgiving on Liberty, and I would anticipate that, should the virus be in it's decline worldwide and social distancing requirements lifted, we would not hesitate to be on that ship. Long story short...if RCI chooses to deal with the short-term (relatively) issues while ignoring the long-term implications, they could be a ship without a sail. (Yes, pun intended.)
  7. I read that they had to dredge the slip to ensure that the ship's draft was accommodated. I guess that's where the difference between gross tonnage and displacement come in, as I know Norwegian's largest ships berth there.
  8. Just to answer a question posted above, yes, airlines do pay for terminal construction. Often times it is a split public-private partnership, but many are built predominantly with airline money. Examples would be Terminal 8 @ JFK paid for by AA, LGA terminal (D I think) paid for by Delta, etc. Usually, those are exclusive-use terminals where the airline and it's partners are the only users.
  9. It's such a dynamic situation, it's tough to even speculate. I would lay 99.9% odds it's not because RCI is "silencing' him. Navigating the entry and transit requirements for different countries with differing nationalities can be intense at this moment, and is changing rapidly. The few flights that do exist are also quickly running out. My bigger concern for Chris (and I too have subscribed to my first Youtube channel---his) is whether he will be paid beyond his contract if he is 'stuck' on the ship after that expires. It doesn't seem like he is too concerned about it...and I have to admit...If I had to spend 30 days in quarantine, doing it on a fairly empty Oasis-class ship in the Bahamas with almost perfect weather would be where I'd want to do it!
  10. I am in awe of the sheer number of ships at anchor in the Bahamas currently. It must be surreal to be part of that...not unlike when planes were grounded after 9/11...I'm disappointed Chris is being sent home...I'm living vicariously through him at the moment! I know RCI doesn't want to remember this moment positively, but it would be kind of cool if they could arrange some photography sessions for a large chunk of their fleet...comparison shots between ship classes...groupings, etc.
  11. The official term used by RCL was "on hold" versus "cancelled." It is my understanding that these shipyards probably have schedules that are booked out at least a year. Due to the delay in getting into port (due to closure) that has impacted their schedule. Additionally, given the uncertainty of the anticipated cruise schedule (and port of call availability) this is a fluid situation. The best case scenario (for Allure cruisers) would be that the ship gets into Cadiz later than anticipated (with the shipyard simply bumping the schedule they have back) and the cancellation of several (if not all) Mediterranean cruises. The worst case scenario would be that only the bare minimum be completed (five-year drydock stuff), perhaps at another shipyard that has availability.
  12. Increasing the availability of credit is something all companies with the ability should be doing at the moment. The cost is low, and balance sheets and income statements still look rosy. In a month, or two or three they may not look as good and/or they may not be in as enviable of a borrowing position. It's not just hospitality companies doing so...it's the broad majority of them, and it certainly doesn't effectively point to insolvency.
  13. Cruised in 1400 and loved it. Booked in 1700 for November and then was able to get 1400 for a couple w/kids sailing with us. Best kept secret, I think, they're huge.
  14. I sailed on Liberty of the Seas in September 2018 and loved it. I just booked for Thanksgiving this year and was surprised to read the most recent reviews that essentially detail her condition as long in the tooth. Complaints include stained/damaged carpeting, worn out beds, damaged furniture and cabinetry, and foul smells. I know she's due for a major (drydock) overhaul in Spring 2021, but don't some of these things get replaced through the normal course of business? I'm actually a bit concerned, as these reviews are really starting to go negative and my cruise is still nine months away. I've looked at her cruise schedule and don't see any gaps. My assumption would be that I need to prepare myself to be in a floating Motel 6, and if it winds up better, bonus. The reviews don't match my previous experience on that ship and I kind of booked it blindly because we had such a great time. Anybody have any insight?
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