We are entering the heart of hurricane season

[Hurricane Expert]

We leave for the Bahamas next Monday, 29th for a 4nt cruise. How's the weather looking?

 

Sent from my SGH-M919 using Forums mobile app

 

Again, this is in the 7-10 day time frame so I personally don't put too much faith in these forecasts.... Anyhow, this is what they're saying now... A mid latitude low pressure area is forecast to move up the east coast Mon / Tue with typical partly cloudy - scattered shower chances for the Bahamas.

[Southerngal410]

Thanks! Do you mind if I check back with you at the end of the week for an update?

 

Sent from my SGH-M919 using Forums mobile app

[Hurricane Expert]

Thanks! Do you mind if I check back with you at the end of the week for an update?

 

Sent from my SGH-M919 using Forums mobile app

 

Sure, that is fine, the weather pattern doesn't look too busy at this time.

[Southerngal410]

So what's it looking like for Coco Cay on Tuesday and Nassau on Wednesday?

 

Sent from my SGH-M919 using Forums mobile app

[Hurricane Expert]

So what's it looking like for Coco Cay on Tuesday and Nassau on Wednesday?

 

Sent from my SGH-M919 using Forums mobile app

 

The tail end of a front will be north of the Bahamas. Variably cloudy with scattered showers / thundershowers....rather typical for this time of year. No organized tropical systems showing up on the forecast.

[Southerngal410]

Thanks!

 

Sent from my SGH-M919 using Forums mobile app

[ondeegoh]

Good afternoon Hurricane Expert..

 

We are getting ready to embark on an 8-day cruise from FLL to the Exotic Caribbean (Grand Turk, Dominican Republic, Curacao and Aruba) from 5-13 October 2014. What do you see in our forecast for the week? Thanks!!!

 

Cecilia

[Hurricane Expert]

Good afternoon Hurricane Expert..

 

We are getting ready to embark on an 8-day cruise from FLL to the Exotic Caribbean (Grand Turk, Dominican Republic, Curacao and Aruba) from 5-13 October 2014. What do you see in our forecast for the week? Thanks!!!

 

Cecilia

 

I can only comment on the first half of the trip because I don't trust the models out past 7 days especially for the western half of the Caribbean.

 

A cold front will be moving by Miami just before you leave and stall in the Bahamas. This time of year it is not unusual to have areas of scattered showers and storms from either cold fronts, Inter tropical convergence zone - near South America, or other upper air disturbances. The southern Caribbean (Curacao, Aruba) almost never sees problems from tropical cyclones. Enjoy the trip!

[Folk Singer]

So far it has not been too bad.

 

 

Agree up here as well. We have had some bad tropical storms.:(

[myjillian]

We will be doing the Panama Canal LA to Tampa Oct 11th...any action that we might run into ?

[Hurricane Expert]

We will be doing the Panama Canal LA to Tampa Oct 11th...any action that we might run into ?

 

Can you post the itinerary? I assume that this is a 10 day trip? I can give you a forecast to about 7 days out...

Edited October 7, 2014 by Hurricane Expert

[phillygirl2400]

Leaving out of Bayonne, NJ to st martin, st thomas and san juan next sunday, October 19. I see 2 tropical storms on the map. What info can you provide? Thanks

 

 

Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

[Hurricane Expert]

Leaving out of Bayonne, NJ to st martin, st thomas and san juan next sunday, October 19. I see 2 tropical storms on the map. What info can you provide? Thanks

 

 

Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

 

I don't trust the models past 7 days ( at the most ). I can tell you Fay will be long gone and Gonzalo will mostly likely some where near or past Bermuda by next Sunday.

 

Beyond that ??? to early to tell.

[phillygirl2400]

Thanks. I'll be watching the maps and hoping for the best.

 

 

Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

[jimmyvinny]

Hi Hurricane Expert! I read that Gonzalo should be past the Bahamas by Friday but rain is forecasted for the weekend. Will that just be residual rain from Gonzalo leaving the area? Should we expect rain all day type of rain or just a couple pop up showers?

 

Sent from my SAMSUNG-SGH-I337 using Forums mobile app

[Hurricane Expert]

Hi Hurricane Expert! I read that Gonzalo should be past the Bahamas by Friday but rain is forecasted for the weekend. Will that just be residual rain from Gonzalo leaving the area? Should we expect rain all day type of rain or just a couple pop up showers?

 

Sent from my SAMSUNG-SGH-I337 using Forums mobile app

 

Gonzalo will be a long ways from the Bahamas by the end of the week. I'm not seeing much at this time for the Bahamas except for a trough passing through. That could bring scattered showers or a storm.

[Momofthreeprincesses]

We are leaving today on the freedom for nassau on Tuesday HMC Wednesday and grand Turk on Thursday what should we expect in terms of weather? Thank you for all the information you put on here it's great to get in real words what's going on.

 

 

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[Luvoceans]

Hi Hurricane Expert . What is is the weather for a cruise leaving Galveston on Oct 16 and stopping in Cozumel on Oct 18 ?

Thank you so much for letting us know about the weather forecasts

[Hurricane Expert]

We are leaving today on the freedom for nassau on Tuesday HMC Wednesday and grand Turk on Thursday what should we expect in terms of weather? Thank you for all the information you put on here it's great to get in real words what's going on.

 

 

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

Gonzalo will become a hurricane and is predicted to stay east of the Bahamas Tuesday through early Thursday. The worse of the weather will be to the east, but it's really impossible to say if an outer rain band could move through.

[Hurricane Expert]

Hi Hurricane Expert . What is is the weather for a cruise leaving Galveston on Oct 16 and stopping in Cozumel on Oct 18 ?

Thank you so much for letting us know about the weather forecasts

 

 

High pressure will be over the Gulf on the 16th. The western Caribbean has been unsettled for a while now.... the forecast for Cozumel on the 18th shows scattered thundershowers.

 

Cruise critic friends.... I will continue to give updates here for Gonzalo, but will not be able to give any additional "personal" forecasts. I am getting busy forecasting for Gonzalo.

[raytownlady]

A little concerned about Gonzalo as my family are currently on the Jewel of the Seas. They left Puerto Rico on 10/11 for a 7-night Southern Caribbean cruise.

 

Hope that all is well and they are having smooth seas.

[Folk Singer]

Gonzalo will become a hurricane and is predicted to stay east of the Bahamas Tuesday through early Thursday. The worse of the weather will be to the east, but it's really impossible to say if an outer rain band could move through.

 

 

thanks you for the information.

[Folk Singer]

High pressure will be over the Gulf on the 16th. The western Caribbean has been unsettled for a while now.... the forecast for Cozumel on the 18th shows scattered thundershowers.

 

Cruise critic friends.... I will continue to give updates here for Gonzalo, but will not be able to give any additional "personal" forecasts. I am getting busy forecasting for Gonzalo.

 

 

Understand and thank you for all your work.

 

Don

[Hurricane Expert]

Hurricane Gonzalo will be moving out of the Leewards late tonight or early tomorrow. It will gradually turn more north and will possibly be a concern to Bermuda around Friday.

[Hurricane Expert]

The weather is rapidly improving across the Leewards, VI's and Puerto Rico this morning. Bermuda may see Gonzalo's effects Friday.

Edited October 14, 2014 by Hurricane Expert