Hurricane Expert Posted September 7, 2014 #1 Share Posted September 7, 2014 Two strong tropical waves are in the Atlantic. One is likely to turn into the central Atlantic open waters. The second may be a little farther south.... Plenty of time to watch them, they are a long ways out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CFD130 Posted September 8, 2014 #2 Share Posted September 8, 2014 A question-Once something forms off the African coast Aprx how long until that system is approaching the Caribbean? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Expert Posted September 8, 2014 Author #3 Share Posted September 8, 2014 A question-Once something forms off the African coast Aprx how long until that system is approaching the Caribbean? Thanks About a week if it approaches the Caribbean. Many of the Cape Verde systems track northeast from the Caribbean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CFD130 Posted September 8, 2014 #4 Share Posted September 8, 2014 Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnnypiano Posted September 9, 2014 #5 Share Posted September 9, 2014 Any update on 91L? Going to Bermuda next week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Expert Posted September 9, 2014 Author #6 Share Posted September 9, 2014 Any update on 91L? Going to Bermuda next week! Early forecasts suggest it moving east of Bermuda. I am very cautious about trusting forecasts before the low has actually formed though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mykekid Posted September 10, 2014 #7 Share Posted September 10, 2014 How's this thing shaping up? And what do you figure the timing of it will be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Expert Posted September 10, 2014 Author #8 Share Posted September 10, 2014 How's this thing shaping up? And what do you figure the timing of it will be? Only 91L is left. It is still predicted to move safely east of Bermuda by early next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mykekid Posted September 10, 2014 #9 Share Posted September 10, 2014 Thanks for the input! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OCruisers Posted September 10, 2014 #10 Share Posted September 10, 2014 Rich, thanks as always for keeping us updated! LuLu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bhanback Posted September 11, 2014 #11 Share Posted September 11, 2014 Yes, many thanks to you Rich....I am leaving Sunday the 21 from Baltimore and am nervously watching the tropics! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnnypiano Posted September 11, 2014 #12 Share Posted September 11, 2014 Per the National Hurricane Center this morning: Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure centered about 750 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands has become better organized during the past several hours. If current trends continue, a tropical depression could form later today or tonight while the low moves toward the west-northwest and northwest at about 15 mph over the open Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Looks like it's tracking towards Bermuda! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mykekid Posted September 11, 2014 #13 Share Posted September 11, 2014 From reports I'm seeing this front is expected to take a "northwestward curl into the central Atlantic". Hopefully that puts it well east of us. Sent from my SGH-M919 using Forums mobile app Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OCruisers Posted September 11, 2014 #14 Share Posted September 11, 2014 Rich, is the Red X 91L? LuLu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Expert Posted September 11, 2014 Author #15 Share Posted September 11, 2014 (edited) Rich, is the Red X 91L?LuLu Yes. Models have been very persistent taking it east of Bermuda. It is now tropical depression 6. Edited September 11, 2014 by Hurricane Expert Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rare crewsweeper Posted September 11, 2014 #16 Share Posted September 11, 2014 The 92L over the Northwest Bahamas, might bring some wet weather to cruisers coming and going out of Eastern Florida ports on Saturday and going out of Tampa on Sunday. Don't plan on a sunny Lido deck bon-voyage party.:rolleyes: But if it develops over the Gulf at all, it'll be on land by mid week, so should not affect NOLA and Galveston cruisers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnnypiano Posted September 12, 2014 #17 Share Posted September 12, 2014 (edited) It looks like our friend Edouard (f/k/a 91L) is still predicted to turn to the north sometime in the next few days and have no impact on Bermuda.... Edited September 12, 2014 by johnnypiano Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Expert Posted September 12, 2014 Author #18 Share Posted September 12, 2014 The 92L over the Northwest Bahamas, might bring some wet weather to cruisers coming and going out of Eastern Florida ports on Saturday and going out of Tampa on Sunday. Don't plan on a sunny Lido deck bon-voyage party.:rolleyes: But if it develops over the Gulf at all, it'll be on land by mid week, so should not affect NOLA and Galveston cruisers. Models are wishy - washy on this one so, I wouldn't be sure of anything yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
webbersworld Posted September 12, 2014 #19 Share Posted September 12, 2014 Rich - any new thoughts on 91L? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Expert Posted September 13, 2014 Author #20 Share Posted September 13, 2014 (edited) Rich - any new thoughts on 91L? Nothing new. Edouard (91L) Still predicted to become a hurricane and recurve east of Bermuda. Edited September 13, 2014 by Hurricane Expert Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Expert Posted September 14, 2014 Author #21 Share Posted September 14, 2014 Edouard is definitely a hurricane now and should be upgraded by NHC at 11 am edt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsishot Posted September 14, 2014 #22 Share Posted September 14, 2014 Edouard is definitely a hurricane now and should be upgraded by NHC at 11 am edt. Any idea of what this might mean for those of us sailing the eastern Caribbean next Sunday? First cruise for me and I'm trying not to worry but can't help myself with my lack of understanding as I don't live in an area where they are ever a concern. Sent from my iPhone using Forums Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Expert Posted September 14, 2014 Author #23 Share Posted September 14, 2014 Any idea of what this might mean for those of us sailing the eastern Caribbean next Sunday? First cruise for me and I'm trying not to worry but can't help myself with my lack of understanding as I don't live in an area where they are ever a concern. Nothing on the horizon at this point. BTW, Edouard is much stronger than the official 80 mph.... at least 100 mph imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsishot Posted September 14, 2014 #24 Share Posted September 14, 2014 Nothing on the horizon at this point. BTW, Edouard is much stronger than the official 80 mph.... at least 100 mph imo. Thanks for letting me know. Sent from my iPad using Forums Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Expert Posted September 15, 2014 Author #25 Share Posted September 15, 2014 I may have misread your post. Edouard will not affect the caribbean. It is going out to the middle of the atlantic. At this time the models aren't showing anything for the eastern caribbean a week out. That is still on the edge of forecasts that I trust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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