Alex 5AM 8/3/2004

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Hurricane ALEX

 

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000

WTNT31 KNHC 030830

TCPAT1

BULLETIN

HURRICANE ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 12

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

5 AM EDT TUE AUG 03 2004

 

...ALEX STRENGTHENS SOME MORE AS IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD NEAR THE

NORTH CAROLINA COAST...

 

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...ALL WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF CAPE

FEAR NORTH CAROLINA.

 

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON

INLET NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND. THIS MEANS

THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA

DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY

SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

 

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF OREGON INLET TO

THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE SOUND.

 

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE FEAR TO CAPE

LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.

 

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR

LATITUDE 33.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.9 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES

SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT

75 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.

 

ALEX IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS

EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE

NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX IS

FORECAST TO PASS VERY NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS LATER

TODAY. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT ANY MOTION TO THE LEFT OF THE

FORECAST TRACK COULD BRING THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE ACROSS THE

NORTH CAROLINA COAST.

 

REPORTS FROM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS IN WILMINGTON

AND NEWPORT NORTH CAROLINA INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS

HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME

ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY.

 

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE

CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105

MILES. THE NOAA BUOY NEAR FRYING PAN SHOALS NORTH CAROLINA

RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 38 MPH WITH A GUST OF 47 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF NEAR 40 MPH HAVE ALSO BEEN REPORTED ALONG PORTIONS OF

THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST NEAR WILMINGTON.

 

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.

 

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED

HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH ALEX.

 

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS

CAN BE EXPECTED ON ATLANTIC SHORELINES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2

TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED INSIDE PAMLICO

SOUND. HIGH SURF AND RIP CURRENTS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE

SOUTHEASTERN AND MID-ATLANTIC U.S. COASTAL AREAS FOR THE NEXT

COUPLE OF DAYS.

 

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...33.5 N... 76.9 W. MOVEMENT

TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED

WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 983 MB.

 

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR

PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

 

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL

HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT

COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT.

 

FORECASTER BEVEN