vicocala Posted August 23, 2005 #1 Share Posted August 23, 2005 Watches and warnings are expected to be posted in a few minutes for the Central Bahamas and Northwestern Bahamas. :mad: Just in time for my cruise, bummer. But, I knew the job was dangerous when I took it. :cool: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vicocala Posted August 23, 2005 Author #2 Share Posted August 23, 2005 Tropical Depression TWELVE Public Advisory Home Public Adv Fcst/Adv Strike Probs Maps/Chrts Archive 000WTNT32 KNHC 232042TCPAT2BULLETINTROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE ADVISORY NUMBER 1...CORRECTEDNWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL5 PM EDT TUE AUG 23 2005CORRECTED WARNING SECTION...TWELFTH DEPRESSION OF THE SEASON FORMS OVER THE BAHAMAS......TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED... AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED ATROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. THISINCLUDES CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...SAN SALVADOR...NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS... THE ABACOS... ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE. A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OFSOUTHERN FLORIDA LATER TONIGHT. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLEINLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUEDBY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE WASESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 75.5 WEST OR ABOUT175 MILES... 280 KM... SOUTHEAST OF NASSAU. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FORTHE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS INDICATED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT DATAAND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHERGUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY WEDNESDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVERPORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...AND ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE ALONG THENORTHERN COAST OF CUBA.STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTEDNEAR THE CENTER IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE BAHAMAS. REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...23.2 N... 75.5 W. MOVEMENTTOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINEDWINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONALHURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXTCOMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT. FORECASTER STEWART Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sage Posted August 23, 2005 #3 Share Posted August 23, 2005 I guess it is no surprise that we do have a storm out there in August, but I was rather liking the quiet period and could have gladly ended the season with no more storms. Vicocala, I hope that it doesn't interfer with cruise plans and will just be a bit of a bumpy ride for a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M.S JAZO Posted August 23, 2005 #4 Share Posted August 23, 2005 Ok, damn I leave tomorrow, ok, whats the track, its not like heading up the east coast of Florida is it, it looks more to head along the south of Florida, right? It seems like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vicocala Posted August 24, 2005 Author #5 Share Posted August 24, 2005 Yep, here is the next few days expected track. Good luck on your cruise. I think I will be ok, but I never trust a track, it is always subject to change: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vicocala Posted August 24, 2005 Author #6 Share Posted August 24, 2005 Tropical Depression Twelve Advisory Number 2 Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl 11 Pm Edt Tue Aug 23 2005 ...tropical Depression Gradually Organizing And Moving Slowly Northwestward... ...tropical Storm Watch Issued For Portions Of The Florida Keys And Florida East Coast... A Tropical Storm Warning Is In Effect For The Central And Northwestern Bahamas... Including Cat Island... The Exumas... Long Island... Rum Cay... San Salvador... The Northwestern Bahamas... The Abacos... Andros Island... The Berry Islands... Bimini... Eleuthera... Grand Bahama Island... And New Providence. A Tropical Storm Warning Means That Tropical Storm Conditions Are Expected Within The Warning Area Within The Next 24 Hours. At 11 Pm Edt... 0300z... A Tropical Storm Watch Has Been Issued For Portions Of The East Coast Of Florida And The Florida Keys From West Of The Seven Mile Bridge Northward To Vero Beach. A Tropical Storm Watch Means That Tropical Storm Conditions Are Possible Within The Watch Area...generally Within 36 Hours. For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued By Your Local Weather Office. At 11 Pm Edt...0300z...the Center Of Tropical Depression Twelve Was Estimated Near Latitude 23.4 North... Longitude 76.0 West Or About 140 Miles... 230 Km... Southeast Of Nassau. The Depression Is Moving Toward The Northwest Near 7 Mph... 11 Km/hr... And This General Motion Is Expected To Continue During The Next 24 Hours. Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 35 Mph... 55 Km/hr... With Higher Gusts. Some Strengthening Is Forecast During The Next 24 Hours... And The Depression Could Become A Tropical Storm On Wednesday. Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 1007 Mb...29.74 Inches. The Depression Is Expected To Produce Total Rainfall Accumulations Of 4 To 8 Inches Over The Central And Northwestern Bahamas... With Isolated Maximum Amounts Of 10 Inches Possible. Total Rainfall Accumulations Of 3 To 5 Inches Are Expected Along The North Coast Of Cuba. Storm Surge Flooding Of 3 To 5 Feet Above Normal Tide Levels... Along With Large And Dangerous Battering Waves... Can Be Expected Near The Center In Areas Of Onshore Winds In The Bahamas. Repeating The 11 Pm Edt Position...23.4 N... 76.0 W. Movement Toward...northwest Near 7 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds... 35 Mph. Minimum Central Pressure...1007 Mb. An Intermediate Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At 2 Am Edt Followed By The Next Complete Advisory At 5 Am Edt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vicocala Posted August 24, 2005 Author #7 Share Posted August 24, 2005 Tropical Depression Twelve Intermediate Advisory Number 2a Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl 2 Am Edt Wed Aug 24 2005 ...center Of Tropical Depression Twelve Near Great Exuma Island In The Bahamas.... A Tropical Storm Warning Is In Effect For The Central And Northwestern Bahamas... Including Cat Island... The Exumas... Long Island... Rum Cay... San Salvador... The Northwestern Bahamas... The Abacos... Andros Island... The Berry Islands... Bimini... Eleuthera... Grand Bahama Island... And New Providence. A Tropical Storm Warning Means That Tropical Storm Conditions Are Expected Within The Warning Area Within The Next 24 Hours. A Tropical Storm Watch Remains In Effect For Portions Of The East Coast Of Florida And The Florida Keys From West Of The Seven Mile Bridge Northward To Vero Beach. A Tropical Storm Watch Means That Tropical Storm Conditions Are Possible Within The Watch Area... Generally Within 36 Hours. For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued By Your Local Weather Office. At 2 Am Edt...0600z...the Center Of Tropical Depression Twelve Was Estimated Near Latitude 23.6 North... Longitude 76.0 West Or About 135 Miles... 220 Km... Southeast Of Nassau In The Bahamas. The Depression Is Moving Erratically Toward The Northwest Near 5 Mph... 8 Km/hr... And This General Motion Is Expected To Continue During The Next 24 Hours. Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 35 Mph... 55 Km/hr... With Higher Gusts. Some Strengthening Is Forecast During The Next 24 Hours... And The Depression Could Become A Tropical Storm On Wednesday. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter Is Currently Enroute To Investigate The Depression. Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 1007 Mb...29.74 Inches. The Depression Is Expected To Produce Total Rainfall Accumulations Of 4 To 8 Inches Over The Central And Northwestern Bahamas... With Isolated Maximum Amounts Of 10 Inches Possible. Total Rainfall Accumulations Of 3 To 5 Inches Are Expected Along The North Coast Of Cuba. Storm Surge Flooding Of 3 To 5 Feet Above Normal Tide Levels... Along With Large And Dangerous Battering Waves... Can Be Expected Near The Center In Areas Of Onshore Winds In The Bahamas. Repeating The 2 Am Edt Position...23.6 N... 76.0 W. Movement Toward...northwest Near 5 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds... 35 Mph. Minimum Central Pressure...1007 Mb. The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At 5 Am Edt. Forecaster Beven Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sage Posted August 24, 2005 #8 Share Posted August 24, 2005 Vicocala, Thanks for the update of TD 12. Do you know if this is a large storm? I keep looking to see how far out the wind fields extend from the center, but I can't find anything yet. Is it too early for that information? I'm like you, those tracks can be iffy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vicocala Posted August 24, 2005 Author #9 Share Posted August 24, 2005 As of 8:00 AM the storm has reached tropical storm force Sage, the windfields are included here for your reference, I normally don't post them as most folks around the country probably don't have that much interest in them and to conserve space but you can find them in the forecast section of the advisories: TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122005 0900Z WED AUG 24 2005 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS... INCLUDING CAT ISLAND... THE EXUMAS... LONG ISLAND... RUM CAY... SAN SALVADOR... THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS... THE ABACOS... ANDROS ISLAND... THE BERRY ISLANDS... BIMINI... ELEUTHERA... GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND... AND NEW PROVIDENCE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE NORTHWARD TO VERO BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA EAST COAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 76.4W AT 24/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 76.4W AT 24/0900Z AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 76.1W FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 24.7N 77.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 25.5N 78.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 25.9N 78.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 26.1N 80.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 26.5N 82.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 27.0N 84.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 28.0N 86.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.0N 76.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z FORECASTER BEVEN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAJOKG Posted August 24, 2005 #10 Share Posted August 24, 2005 Ok, damn I leave tomorrow, ok, whats the track, its not like heading up the east coast of Florida is it, it looks more to head along the south of Florida, right? It seems like that. I live on the East Coast and we are now under a tropical storm watch from Vero Beach to the Keys. Although they are saying it will make landfall around Miami, areas north and south can expect the rains. We are about 65 miles north of Ft. Lauderdale and we are expecting up to 6 inches. It does look as if this will remain a tropical storm, but heavy rains are expected. Will start tomorrow into Friday. Up to 6 inches of rain with street flooding and some winds. If you have an early flight it might not be a problem....later flights stand a good chance of delays. From what I can tell, the storm will be off the west coast on Saturday and the east coast will be clear, so ships should be sailing with no problem. That's current, and of course anything can happen. Next update is expected at 11 a.m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vicocala Posted August 24, 2005 Author #11 Share Posted August 24, 2005 Katy, Best wishes with the storm I hope you come out of it safely. Right now the track looks headed toward Louisiana. The gulf waters are very warm and the storm is expected to reintensify in the Gulf. Not sure of the dates that ships leave New Orleans but it could have an effect on them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vicocala Posted August 24, 2005 Author #12 Share Posted August 24, 2005 Again, since this was generated the storm has been upgrade to tropical storm status: TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2005 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING ERRATICALLY NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...NEARING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE NORTHWARD TO VERO BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA EAST COAST. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.6 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES... 115 KM...SOUTHEAST OF NASSAU AND ABOUT 250 MILES... 400 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF FLORIDA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST BAHAMAS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MAINLY IN SQUALLS TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. RECENT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT REPORTS INDICATE THE DEPRESSION IS JUST BELOW TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION WILL LIKELY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS... WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES... CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE CENTER IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE BAHAMAS. REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...24.4 N... 76.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM EDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAJOKG Posted August 24, 2005 #13 Share Posted August 24, 2005 Katy, Best wishes with the storm I hope you come out of it safely. Right now the track looks headed toward Louisiana. The gulf waters are very warm and the storm is expected to reintensify in the Gulf. Not sure of the dates that ships leave New Orleans but it could have an effect on them. Hmmm. Never thought of the ships in NO. From the track I saw, it might well effect them. Thanks for the good wishes. I think we'll be okay. Will just have the heavy rain and street flooding. But it is deja vu, for sure. Frances and Jeanne made landfall right over us last year. I guess you could say it was not a real good time!!! Also, thanks for the weather updates. It is appreciated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spcl4cs_gal Posted August 24, 2005 #14 Share Posted August 24, 2005 This system must have formed from all of the rain and thunderstorms we have been getting this week in the Caribbean. Today in St Thomas we arrived in the middle of a thunderstorm but it has since rolled northward and everything is nice and humid here now. What would St Thomas be without humidity anyway? :( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vicocala Posted August 24, 2005 Author #15 Share Posted August 24, 2005 Tropical Storm Katrina Advisory Number 4 Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl 11 Am Edt Wed Aug 24 2005 ...depression Strengthens Into Tropical Storm Katrina Over The Central Bahamas... ...hurricane Watch And Tropical Storm Warning Issued For Florida... At 11 Am Edt...1500z...a Tropical Storm Warning And A Hurricane Watch Have Been Issued For The Southeast Florida Coast From Vero Beach Southward To Florida City. This Replaces The Tropical Storm Watch. A Hurricane Watch Means That Hurricane Conditions Are Possible Within The Watch Area...generally Within 36 Hours. A Tropical Storm Warning Remains In Effect For The Central And Northwest Bahamas. A Tropical Storm Warning Means That Tropical Storm Conditions Are Expected Within The Warning Area Within The Next 24 Hours. A Tropical Storm Watch Remains In Effect For The Middle And Upper Florida Keys From West Of The Seven Mile Bridge Northward To South Of Florida City. A Tropical Storm Watch Means That Tropical Storm Conditions Are Possible Within The Watch Area...generally Within 36 Hours. A Watch Or Warning May Be Required For Lake Okeechobee Later Today. A Hurricane Warning May Be Required For Portions Of The Northwest Bahamas Later Today. For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued By Your Local Weather Office. At 11 Am Edt...1500z...the Center Of Tropical Storm Katrina Was Located Near Latitude 24.7 North... Longitude 76.7 West Or About 50 Miles... 80 Km... East-southeast Of Nassau And About 230 Miles... 375 Km...east-southeast Of Southeast Coast Of Florida. Katrina Is Moving Toward The North-northwest Near 8 Mph ...13 Km/hr. A Gradual Turn Toward The Northwest At A Slightly Slower Forward Speed Is Expected To Occur Later Today. This Motion Should Bring The Center Through The Central And Northwest Bahamas Later Today And Tonight. Earlier Reports From An Air Force Reserve Reconnaissance Aircraft Indicated Maximum Sustained Winds Had Increased To Near 40 Mph... 65 Km/hr...with Higher Gusts. Additional Strengthening Is Forecast During The Next 24 Hours. Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 70 Miles ...110 Km...mainly East Of The Center. The Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 1006 Mb...29.71 Inches. Due To Its Slow Forward Speed...katrina Is Expected To Produce A Significant Heavy Rainfall Event Over The Central And Northwest Bahamas...and South Florida... With Total Rainfall Accumulations Of 6 To 12 Inches And Isolated Maximum Amounts Of 15 To 20 Inches Possible. Storm Surge Flooding Of 3 To 5 Feet Above Normal Tide Levels... Along With Large And Dangerous Battering Waves... Can Be Expected Near The Center In Areas Of Onshore Winds In The Bahamas. Repeating The 11 Am Edt Position...24.7 N... 76.7 W. Movement Toward...north-northwest Near 8 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds... 40 Mph. Minimum Central Pressure...1006 Mb. An Intermediate Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At 2 Pm Edt Followed By The Next Complete Advisory At 5 Pm Edt. Forecaster Stewart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevNeal Posted August 24, 2005 #16 Share Posted August 24, 2005 Looks like HMC -- Little San Salvador -- is getting drenched with a whole lot of rain. I trust everything is ok there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vicocala Posted August 24, 2005 Author #17 Share Posted August 24, 2005 I sure hope so, everyone says it is so beautiful, I would hate to see it damaged. Especially since I will be there in October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sage Posted August 24, 2005 #18 Share Posted August 24, 2005 Vicocala, Thanks again for the update. It looks like the storm is getting its act together. KAJOKA, Stay safe and let us know how you fare. It sure sounds like you are in for some rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sage Posted August 24, 2005 #19 Share Posted August 24, 2005 Vicocala, Thanks for the update. It looks as though Katrina is getting her act together. I saw some of the models that have her doing a U turn, and I must say that I don't like that. KAJOKA, Please stay safe, and please let us know how you fare. I just saw that this double posted, with a slight difference. Sorry, as the board gives on a blank DONE screen. When will the board work right again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vicocala Posted August 24, 2005 Author #20 Share Posted August 24, 2005 Bulletin Tropical Storm Katrina Intermediate Advisory Number 4a Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl 2 Pm Edt Wed Aug 24 2005 ...tropical Storm Katrina Strengthening Over The Central Bahamas... ...heavy Rainfall Threat For The Bahamas Tonight And Thursday... A Tropical Storm Warning And A Hurricane Watch Remain In Effect For The Southeast Florida Coast From Vero Beach Southward To Florida City. This Replaces The Tropical Storm Watch. A Hurricane Watch Means That Hurricane Conditions Are Possible Within The Watch Area...generally Within 36 Hours. A Tropical Storm Warning Remains In Effect For The Central And Northwest Bahamas. A Tropical Storm Warning Means That Tropical Storm Conditions Are Expected Within The Warning Area Within The Next 24 Hours. A Tropical Storm Watch Remains In Effect For The Middle And Upper Florida Keys From West Of The Seven Mile Bridge Northward To South Of Florida City. A Tropical Storm Watch Means That Tropical Storm Conditions Are Possible Within The Watch Area...generally Within 36 Hours. A Watch Or Warning May Be Required For Lake Okeechobee Later Today. A Hurricane Warning May Be Required For Portions Of The Northwest Bahamas Later Today. For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued By Your Local Weather Office. At 2 Pm Edt...1800z...reports From An Air Force Reserve Unit Reconnaissance Aircraft Indicate The Center Of Tropical Storm Katrina Was Reforming Near Latitude 25.2 North... Longitude 77.0 West Or About 30 Miles... 50 Km... East-northeast Of Nassau And About 200 Miles...320 Km...east-southeast Of The Southeast Coast Of Florida. Katrina Is Moving Toward The North-northwest Near 8 Mph ...13 Km/hr. A Turn Toward The Northwest Or West-northwest At A Slightly Slower Forward Speed Is Expected To Occur Tonight Or Early Thursday. This Motion Will Bring The Center Through The Central Bahamas Today And The Northwest Bahamas Tonight And Thursday. Maximum Sustained Winds Are Estimated Near 45 Mph...75 Km/hr...with Higher Gusts. Additional Strengthening Is Forecast During The Next 24 Hours. Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 70 Miles ...110 Km...mainly East Of The Center. The Minimum Central Pressure Recently Observed By Reconnaissance Aircraft Was 1003 Mb...29.62 Inches. Due To Its Slow Forward Speed...katrina Is Expected To Produce A Significant Heavy Rainfall Event Over The Central And Northwest Bahamas...and South Florida... With Total Rainfall Accumulations Of 6 To 12 Inches And Isolated Maximum Amounts Of 15 To 20 Inches Possible. Storm Surge Flooding Of 3 To 5 Feet Above Normal Tide Levels... Along With Large And Dangerous Battering Waves... Can Be Expected Near The Center In Areas Of Onshore Winds In The Bahamas. Repeating The 2 Pm Edt Position...25.2 N... 77.0 W. Movement Toward...north-northwest Near 8 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds... 45 Mph. Minimum Central Pressure...1003 Mb. The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At 5 Pm Edt. Forecaster Stewart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vicocala Posted August 24, 2005 Author #21 Share Posted August 24, 2005 Sage, Keep an eye out they have it curving back over Florida now instead of Nawlins so do what you can to keep her away while I am gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Oceanwench Posted August 24, 2005 #22 Share Posted August 24, 2005 Katy, DH just e-mailed to tell me one forecaster said it might make Cat 1 before landfall. There are so many tracks for this one ... no one is sure. We are certainly in the cone of possibility. While we need the rain, we don't need THAT much! :eek: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bruceh4 Posted August 24, 2005 #23 Share Posted August 24, 2005 Here is a US Navy website which shows where the Navy thinks the storm is going: http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/sat_products.html When you get to the page click on Tropical Cyclones then click on the storm you want on the next screen in the left hand colummn. You can then click on either picture or tracking map to get a larger version. This site has good tracking maps and very good satellite pictures of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Oceanwench Posted August 24, 2005 #24 Share Posted August 24, 2005 Thanks for the link! Looks like the Navy expects a Miami landfall. Not Dolphins fans??? We are having a little wind and rain here, and people keep asking, "Are they feeder bands?" Last year's storms have unnerved some folks -- and with good reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vicocala Posted August 24, 2005 Author #25 Share Posted August 24, 2005 Tropical Storm Katrina Forecast/advisory Number 5 Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al122005 2100z Wed Aug 24 2005 At 5 Pm Edt...2100z...a Tropical Storm Warning And A Hurricane Watch Have Been Issued For Lake Okeechobee. A Tropical Storm Warning And A Hurricane Watch Are Now In Effect For The Southeast Florida Coast From Vero Beach Southward To Florida City...including Lake Okeechobee. A Hurricane Watch Means That Hurricane Conditions Are Possible Within The Watch Area...generally Within 36 Hours. A Hurricane Warning Will Likely Be Issued For Portions Of The Hurricane Watch Area Later This Evening. A Tropical Storm Warning Remains In Effect For The Central And Northwest Bahamas. A Tropical Storm Warning Means That Tropical Storm Conditions Are Expected Within The Warning Area Within The Next 24 Hours. A Hurricane Warning May Be Required For Portions Of The Northwest Bahamas Later Tonight. At 5 Pm Edt...a Tropical Storm Watch Has Been Issued For The East-central Florida Coast From North Of Vero Beach Northward To Titusville...including All Of Merritt Island. A Tropical Storm Watch Is Now In Effect For The Middle And Upper Florida Keys From West Of The Seven Mile Bridge Northward To South Of Florida City...and From North Of Vero Beach Northward To Titusville... Including All Of Merritt Island. A Tropical Storm Watch Means That Tropical Storm Conditions Are Possible Within The Watch Area... Generally Within 36 Hours. Tropical Storm Center Located Near 25.6n 77.2w At 24/2100z Position Accurate Within 30 Nm Present Movement Toward The Northwest Or 325 Degrees At 8 Kt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.