Hurricane Katrina

[vicocala]

BSAN,

 

Glad you and yours are ok, that is the main thing. The damages can be repaired. Wishing you and your family the best! :)

[Rowan555]

I live one block from the Mississippi River just to the south of New Orleans. I am not too happy right now. Every year I say I will get flood insurance, but of course I didn't do it this year either. It's going to be a tense weekend.

[imsulin]

I live about 4 hours from the Gulf Coast in AL., and am hearing that "the hit" will be late Sunday night/sometime Monday. Oh, brother....here we go again! Another weekend of filling up with @#%& gas, stocking up on groceries, making sure the flashlight batteries I bought for Ivan and Dennis work, washing and drying every available piece of clothing, bringing in my patio furniture, buying bottled water...etc. This is getting to be a drag! AND...I'm going on a cruise out of FLL on 9-17!! Don't know if that's a good or bad thing at this point! (Keeping fingers crossed...!)

[vicocala]

Bulletin

Hurricane Katrina Intermediate Advisory Number 14a

Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl

8 Pm Edt Fri Aug 26 2005

 

...katrina Gradually Moving Away From South Florida...

 

A Tropical Storm Warning Remains In Effect For The Florida Keys

And Florida Bay From Key Largo South And Westward To Key West And

The Dry Tortugas.

 

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible

Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued

By Your Local Weather Office.

 

At 8 Pm Edt...0000z...the Eye Of Hurricane Katrina Was Located

Near Latitude 24.7 North... Longitude 83.3 West Or About 100

Miles... West Of Key West Florida.

 

Katrina Continues To Move Toward The West-southwest Near 8 Mph.

This Motion Is Forecast To Continue This Evening. A Gradual Turn

Toward The West Is Expected On Saturday.

 

Maximum Sustained Winds Remain Near 100 Mph...with Higher Gusts.

Katrina Is A Category Two Hurricane On The Saffir-simpson Scale.

Some Strengthening Is Forecast During The Next 24 Hours...and

Katrina Is Forecast To Become A Category Three...major... Hurricane

Today And On Saturday.

 

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 25 Miles... From The

Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 85

Miles. Sustained Winds Of Tropical Storm-force Are Still Occurring

Across The Lower Florida Keys.

 

Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 965 Mb...28.50 Inches.

 

Storm Surge Flooding Of 2 To 4 Feet Above Normal Tide Levels...

Can Be Expected Along The Southwest Coast Of Florida In Areas Of

Onshore Flow East Of Cape Sable... And In Florida Bay. Storm Surge

Will Gradually Subside Tonight.

 

Katrina Is Expected To Produce Additional Rainfall Of 5 To 8 Inches

Over The Lower Florida Keys...with Isolated Storm Total Amounts Of

15 To 20 Inches. Rainfall Totals Of 5 To 10 Inches Are Expected

Over Northwestern Cuba...and 1 To 3 Inches Of Rainfall Is Expected

Over The Yucatan Peninsula Of Mexico.

 

Isolated Tornadoes Are Possible This Afternoon And Tonight Over The

Florida Keys.

 

Repeating The 8 Pm Edt Position...24.7 N... 83.3 W. Movement

Toward...west-southwest Near 8 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...100

Mph. Minimum Central Pressure... 965 Mb.

 

The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At

11 Pm Edt.

 

Forecaster Avila

 

$$

[vicocala]

Imsulin,

 

I know how you feel, looks like this cruise is getting in by the skin of my teeth. There are still a couple of tropical waves out in the Atlantic that could become depressions at any time. They could be a hinderance on my return. Hopefully not.

 

I also am still a bit concerned about my Oct. 15th cruise, but I knew I was booking during the season and what that entails so I will just go with the flow.

 

Best wishes for you on your trip.

[vicocala]

Bulletinhurricane Katrina Advisory Number 15nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl11 Pm Edt Fri Aug 26 2005...stubborn Katrina Continues Toward The West-southwest...expectedto Become An Intense Hurricane In The Central Gulf Of Mexico... A Tropical Storm Warning Remains In Effect For Florida Bay And Forthe Florida Keys From Key Largo Southward And Westward To Key Westincluding The Dry Tortugas. For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possibleinland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issuedby Your Local Weather Office. At 11 Pm Edt...0300z...the Eye Of Hurricane Katrina Was Located Byradar Near Latitude 24.6 North...longitude 83.6 West Or About 460miles Southeast Of The Mouth Of The Mississippi River And About 115miles West Of Key West Florida. Katrina Is Moving Toward The West-southwest Near 8 Mph. A Gradualturn To The West And West-northwest Is Expected On Saturday. Maximum Sustained Winds Have Increased To Near 105 Mph With Highergusts. Katrina Is A Category Two Hurricane On The Saffir-simpsonscale. Katrina Is Expected To Become A Major Hurricane During Thenext Day Or Two. Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 25 Miles From Thecenter...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 85miles. Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 965 Mb...28.50 Inches.storm Surge Flooding Of 2 To 4 Feet Above Normal Tide Levels...can Be Expected Along The Southwest Coast Of Florida In Areas Ofonshore Flow East Of Cape Sable... And In Florida Bay. Storm Surgewill Gradually Subside Tonight And Saturday. Katrina Is Expected To Produce Rainfall Amounts Of 5 To 10 Inchesover Northwestern Cuba And 1 To 3 Inches Of Rainfall Is Expectedover The Yucatan Peninsula. Rainfall Is Expected To Slowly Diminishacross The Lower Florida Keys...though Additional 1 To 2 Inches Ofrain Is Possible In Some Of The Heavier Rain Bands. Isolated Tornadoes Are Possible Tonight Over The Florida Keys. Repeating The 11 Pm Edt Position...24.6 N... 83.6 W. Movementtoward...west-southwest Near 8 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...105mph. Minimum Central Pressure... 965 Mb. An Intermediate Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricanecenter At 2 Am Edt Followed By The Next Complete Advisory At 5 Amedt. Forecaster Avila $$

[zydecocruiser]

Not looking so good for NOLA... I imagine they will be closing the river at some point, it it keeps on this track...

 

{dunno if the link will last}

 

http://www.nlmoc.navy.mil/center/Tropical/wtnt01.gif

 

but you can get to from here:

http://www.nlmoc.navy.mil/home1.html

[vicocala]

Or Mobile, they are both under threat at this time.

[zydecocruiser]

Forecaster Zy says New Orleans or parts further west... Update tomorrowish.

[TVMet]

BULLETIN

HURRICANE KATRINA ADVISORY NUMBER 16

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

5 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2005

 

...KATRINA BECOMES A MAJOR HURRICANE WITH 115 MPH WINDS...

 

AT 5 AM EDT... 0900Z... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN

DISCONTINUED FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO KEY LARGO FLORIDA AND

FOR FLORIDA BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM

WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO KEY WEST INCLUDING THE

DRY TORTUGAS.

 

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE

INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

 

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED BY

RADAR AND RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...

LONGITUDE 84.4 WEST OR ABOUT 435 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF

THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND ABOUT 165 MILES WEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.

 

KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH... 11 KM/HR. A

GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT

24 HOURS.

 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

KATRINA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.

SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

 

RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT DATA AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT

KATRINA HAS BECOME A LARGER HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND

OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE

WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

ARE OCCURRING JUST OFFSHORE OF THE NORTHERN COAST OF WESTERN CUBA.

 

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE

RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 945 MB...27.91 INCHES.

 

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...

CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA IN AREAS OF

ONSHORE FLOW EAST OF CAPE SABLE... AND IN FLORIDA BAY. STORM SURGE

WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TODAY.

 

KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES

OVER WESTERN CUBA... AND 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED

OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DIMINISH

ACROSS THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS TODAY... ALTHOUGH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2

INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE HEAVIER RAIN BANDS.

 

Forecast Track...

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT12/refresh/AL1205W+gif/085817W_sm.gif

 

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

 

INITIAL 27/0900Z 24.4N 84.4W 100 KT

12HR VT 27/1800Z 24.5N 85.4W 105 KT

24HR VT 28/0600Z 25.0N 87.0W 115 KT

36HR VT 28/1800Z 26.0N 88.7W 120 KT

48HR VT 29/0600Z 27.4N 89.9W 120 KT

72HR VT 30/0600Z 31.5N 90.0W 75 KT...INLAND

96HR VT 31/0600Z 36.0N 87.5W 30 KT...INLAND

[kchesneylover]

I am here in Miami and here is the damage of Katrina. People got up early Friday morning and started clearing the drains of debris and we worked quickly to begin cleanup.

 

As someone stated upthread about the overpass that collapsed, let me tell you that the city of Miami was begging that contractor to brace for Katrina - to no avail. He did not brace for it and the overpass collapsed. No telling what is going to happen or if charges will be made.

 

http://community.webshots.com/user/anamarieus

[TVMet]

BULLETIN

HURRICANE KATRINA ADVISORY NUMBER 18

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

4 PM CDT SAT AUG 27 2005

 

...KATRINA RE-ORGANIZING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...

 

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH IS EXTENDED WESTWARD TO

INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA AND EASTWARD TO THE FLORIDA-ALABAMA

BORDER. A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF

COAST FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER.

 

A HURRICANE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE

NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. INTERESTS IN THIS AREA

SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KATRINA.

 

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED FOR

THE FLORIDA KEYS.

 

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE

INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

 

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED

NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST OR ABOUT 380 MILES

SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND ABOUT 240

MILES WEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.

 

KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN

TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

 

REPORTS FROM NOAA AND AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT

INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER

GUSTS. KATRINA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON

SCALE. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND

KATRINA COULD BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR

SUNDAY.

 

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM...

FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP

TO 160 MILES...260 KM. NOAA BUOY 42003 LOCATED NORTHWEST OF THE

CENTER RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 46 MPH WITH A GUST TO

58 MPH.

 

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE NOAA AIRCRAFT IS

945 MB...27.91 INCHES.

 

STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA SHOULD

SUBSIDE TODAY.

 

KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO

5 INCHES OVER WESTERN CUBA...AND 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS

EXPECTED OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. HEAVY RAINS FROM KATRINA

SHOULD BEGIN TO AFFECT THE CENTRAL GULF COAST SUNDAY EVENING.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS

OF 15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST.

 

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

 

INITIAL 27/2100Z 24.6N 85.6W 100 KT

12HR VT 28/0600Z 24.9N 86.8W 105 KT

24HR VT 28/1800Z 25.8N 88.3W 115 KT

36HR VT 29/0600Z 27.5N 89.6W 120 KT

48HR VT 29/1800Z 29.6N 90.0W 125 KT

72HR VT 30/1800Z 34.0N 89.0W 60 KT...INLAND

 

 

Forecast Map...

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT12/refresh/AL1205W+gif/204748W_sm.gif

 

Computer models...

http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/guidance/atlantic/early1.png

[IBRelaxin2]

Sending best wishes to all in the path, after the three hurricanes we went through here in Brevard County, FL last year we know all about them. Good Luck All!

[neverhitachild]

Why isn't Carnival posting on their website what the disposition is in regards to where their ships are and what passengers (both on board and to board) may expect in the way of delays.

[zydecocruiser]

Under customer service; weather update. Not the most obvious.

 

 

http://www.carnival.com/CMS/static_templates/weather_update.aspx

[neverhitachild]

Thanks for the help. Seems like an out of the way spot to place such important info.

[GoinCruisin]

It's on the homepage of Carnival's website for me... you have to be logged out of Carnival I believe... bottom right hand corner, it says "Weather Updates"

[zydecocruiser]

Want to see something scary? I remember Betsy and what it did to the city.

 

 

 

 

[jetskier]

Want to see something scary? I remember Betsy and what it did to the city.

 

I remember Betsy quite well. We lived in the mobile home park behind the weigh station on Hwy 61 in Laplace. My folks had just decided it was no longer safe to stay in the mobile home. We were driving off when it flipped. It took about an hour to drive to the shelter at the school. As we were driving past Airline Motors, a piece of tin broke out the rear window of the car.

 

Dave

[zydecocruiser]

Hurricane Warning now in effect from Morgan City to Mississippi/Alabama state line.

 

Mayor of NOLA said he would like to make evacuation mandatory, but legally it may be too late for him to do so. Oops.

 

Can see Local TV feed:

http://www.wwltv.com/perl/common/video/wmPlayer.pl?title=beloint_wwltv&props=livenoad

[TVMet]

BULLETIN

HURRICANE KATRINA ADVISORY NUMBER 19

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

10 PM CDT SAT AUG 27 2005

 

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE KATRINA THREATENS THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF

COAST...A HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED...

 

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE

NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE

ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE

PONTCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS

ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO

COMPLETION.

 

ALSO AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE

WATCH HAVE BEEN ISSUED FROM THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER EASTWARD TO

DESTIN FLORIDA...AND FROM WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY

LOUISIANA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM

CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24

HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE

POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

 

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE

INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

 

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED

BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE NEAR LATITUDE 25.0

NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.2 WEST OR ABOUT 335 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF

THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

 

KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. A GRADUAL

TURN TO THE NORTHWEST SHOULD BEGIN ON SUNDAY.

 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 115 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

KATRINA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.

STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND KATRINA

COULD BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON SUNDAY.

 

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE

CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP

TO 160 MILES.

 

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE WAS

939 MB...27.73 INCHES.

 

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 15 TO 20 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE

LEVELS...LOCALLY AS HIGH AS 25 FEET ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS

BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE

CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

 

HEAVY RAINS FROM KATRINA SHOULD BEGIN TO AFFECT THE CENTRAL GULF

COAST SUNDAY EVENING. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH

ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH

OF KATRINA. THE HURRICANE IS STILL EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER EXTREME WESTERN CUBA...AND 1

TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.\

 

Forecast track...

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT12/refresh/AL1205W+gif/030419W_sm.gif

 

Latest satellite...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/FLOAT/IR4/20.jpg

[zydecocruiser]

I live one block from the Mississippi River just to the south of New Orleans. I am not too happy right now. Every year I say I will get flood insurance, but of course I didn't do it this year either. It's going to be a tense weekend.

 

Hope you get out and the city is spared, but so far, no good news. Now Cat 4 with 145mph winds.

[TVMet]

Winds 160 mph

[cubdaddy]

Now a Cat.5 with 160 mph winds. She's huge!:eek:

[TVMet]

How strong at landfall. NHC doesn't know for sure. Here's their 8 am discussion...

 

HURRICANE KATRINA SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 22

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

8 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2005

 

THE PURPOSE OF THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY IS TO REVISE THE INTENSITY OF

KATRINA TO CATEGORY FIVE. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT

REPORTED A PEAK 700 MB FLIGHT-LEVEL WIND OF 153 KNOTS...WHICH

CORRESPONDS TO MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS OF ABOUT 140 KNOTS.

OBVIOUSLY...THE BIG QUESTION IS HOW STRONG KATRINA WILL BE AT

LANDFALL. WE HAVE VERY LIMITED SKILL IN PREDICTING THIS.

FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY...DUE TO EYEWALL REPLACEMENTS...ARE

LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NEVERTHELESS...KATRINA IS

EXPECTED TO BE A DEVASTING CATEGORY FOUR OR FIVE HURRICANE AT

LANDFALL.

 

NO CHANGES TO THE TRACK OR WIND RADII FORECASTS HAVE BEEN MADE.

 

 

FORECASTER PASCH/KNABB