Harvey Remnants

[spleenstomper]

Just hit cat 3 120 mph 943 mb

 

Tropical tidbits has hurricane hunter real time data from the recon missions, so I'm ahead of the NHC bulletins lol. Beauty of the internet...

 

ETA: at this point, it doesn't matter what the category is. Major destruction is inevitable now. Hopefully minimal loss of life.

[bUU]

I have a friend on Valor....Captain said they are headed to New Orleans for fuel and water then hope to dock in Galveston on Sunday....isn't New Orleans a little iffy too?

From all the charts I've seen, it isn't that iffy. The storm is going to hit land significantly west of Galveston. That's bad for Galveston because it is on the east side of the storm, but New Orleans is yet even further east. They'll get rain, but nothing New Orleans cannot handle.

[amina02]

I just cancelled and received the cruise credit. Cancelled with no penalty!

[spleenstomper]

Good for you. I'm sorry it had to happen, but at least you took some control back in your life. Will you go anywhere else this week? Or rebook a cruise?

[jlynn87]

I am guessing in order to receive the credit cruise you had to of purchased the insurance. I didn't ( I know, it was dumb) . I was told once the port opens the cruise will go out somewhere.. not sure where or when. I am glad it's just my husband and myself as we can just go with the flow. What a crazy mess!

[loxley]

From all the charts I've seen, it isn't that iffy. The storm is going to hit land significantly west of Galveston. That's bad for Galveston because it is on the east side of the storm, but New Orleans is yet even further east. They'll get rain, but nothing New Orleans cannot handle.

Actually, NO had 14 pumps not working at this time.

 

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[Warm Breezes]

I am guessing in order to receive the credit cruise you had to of purchased the insurance. I didn't ( I know, it was dumb) . I was told once the port opens the cruise will go out somewhere.. not sure where or when. I am glad it's just my husband and myself as we can just go with the flow. What a crazy mess!

 

From the message posted on their website, I'm willing to bet if you call the number posted that insurance would not be required for the cruise credit. This looks to be gift from Carnival for those who don't purchase insurance....won't help with any flights or hotels though...but I am also betting the airlines and hotels will give credit or refund as well due to the hurricane.

[VoyageReport]

JUST IN:

 

-Hurricane Harvey Strengthens to Category 3 with 120mph winds;

 

-Mayor Says: "Get Outta Dodge";

 

-Storm Will Make Areas 'Uninhabitable';

 

-Landfall Overnight;

 

-Hundreds of Flights Cancelled;

 

-Mandatory Evacuations;

 

-Gas Prices Rise.

 

LATEST: http://*******/2iqKqQt

[bUU]

Actually, NO had 14 pumps not working at this time.

Let's wait and see how well New Orleans handles the storm. Incidentally, Carnival Dream is set to disembark/embark on Sunday.

 

I am guessing in order to receive the credit cruise you had to of purchased the insurance.

The announcement didn't say anything about that.

[OKCcruiser8]

My Aunt & her family called & rebooked for June 2018. There were just too many unknowns to still risk driving down & having to sit around & wait to board only for a shorter cruise. My cousin's boss felt sorry for them & is paying for a condo at Breckinridge, CO. for all of them for the week. So, they're getting mountains instead of the ocean.

[Jzx1103]

JUST IN:

 

-Hurricane Harvey Strengthens to Category 3 with 120mph winds;

 

-Mayor Says: "Get Outta Dodge";

 

-Storm Will Make Areas 'Uninhabitable';

 

-Landfall Overnight;

 

-Hundreds of Flights Cancelled;

 

-Mandatory Evacuations;

 

-Gas Prices Rise.

 

LATEST: http://*******/2iqKqQt

 

As I read this, I visualize some doomsday nut screaming at me ;p

[spleenstomper]

Dropsonde from latest recon mission showing 121 knots in one quadrant--- equals 139.2 mph. Category 4 is 140 mph. Stay tuned...

 

 

ETA: another tornado warning for Galveston area

 

 

ETA: Corpus Christi storm chaser link: https://livestormchasing.com/stream/brandon.clement

Edited August 25, 2017 by spleenstomper

[DCCruiser57]

Here's the latest from ABC13 news out of Galvestion - going to New Orleans for supplies tomorrow, can't return to Galveston until Tuesday.

 

http://abc13.com/travel/20000-cruise...-gulf/2341493/

[spleenstomper]

Really good storm chaser in Rockport, Texas. The storm is hours away from landfall. https://www.pscp.tv/w/1YqGomWpZzyxv

[amina02]

Nope, I didn't purchase the insurance. I rescheduled for May 2018. I'll be heading up north for the week since I've already taken off work for the week.

 

 

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[spleenstomper]

 

Dropsonde showing 942 mb, 142 mph flight level winds

 

ETA: might be category 4 at 4:00 update. It's getting close if it isn't already there.

 

 

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Edited August 25, 2017 by spleenstomper

[pascalburns]

this is one bad storm.keep safe.

[spleenstomper]

Dropsonde from latest recon mission showing 121 knots in one quadrant--- equals 139.2 mph. Category 4 is 140 mph. Stay tuned...

 

 

ETA: another tornado warning for Galveston area

 

 

ETA: Corpus Christi storm chaser link: https://livestormchasing.com/stream/brandon.clement

 

 

I need to watch my typos. Category 4 starts at sustained 130 mph winds.

[FlapjackSanders]

I was supposed to cruise on the Breeze on Sunday.

I just called to cancel.

I cannot stress enough how helpful carnival customer service can be.

I got refunded all the port fees, taxes, and pre paid items (transportation, wifi) straight to my card.

The the rest of the money will remain a carnival credit for 24 months. Knowing me, that is great news. This credit will be for sure used.

 

.....as for the airlines, that will have to figured out. They offered 2/3rd's of what I paid as a credit that had to be used within 60 days.

[KBD1516]

Just subscribing. This seems to be the thread with the most accurate information. Thanks

 

 

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[spleenstomper]

At the moment, it is officially 125 mph category 3. 5 mph short of category 4. katrina hit La/Ms as a category 3.

 

Frightening to think it only won't be a 5 because it ran out of time.

[Pellaz]

Latest discussion just posted. Looks like Harvey will linger. :(

 

 

Hurricane Harvey Discussion Number 22

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092017

400 PM CDT Fri Aug 25 2017

 

Despite its concentric eyewall structure, Harvey's winds have

increased during the day. NOAA and Air Force Reserve Hurricane

Hunter planes have measured maximum flight-level winds of 129 kt

and SFMR winds to 102 kt. Based on these data, Harvey's maximum

surface winds are estimated to be 110 kt. Harvey's central pressure

has also continued to fall, and the latest estimate based on

dropsonde data is 941 mb.

 

Harvey still has not slowed down, and the initial estimate is

325/9 kt. Based on the forecast track, Harvey is expected to make

landfall along the middle Texas coast tonight. After that, the

track models insist that the hurricane will slow down considerably

during the next 24 hours, and it is likely to move very little

between 36 and 120 hours. In fact, there has been a somewhat

notable change in the guidance, with very few of the models showing

Harvey lifting out toward the northeast by the end of the 5-day

forecast period. As a result, the NHC track forecast has been

pulled back a bit and keeps Harvey near or just inland of the Texas

coast through the middle of next week. This slow motion only

exacerbates the heavy rainfall and flooding threat across southern

and southeastern Texas.

 

Harvey may continue to strengthen during the 6-12 hours it has

before landfall, but regardless it is expected to make landfall at

major hurricane strength. Gradual weakening is anticipated after

the center moves inland, but Harvey's slow motion will keep a

significant portion of its circulation over water, which may slow

the weakening rate. As a result, the NHC intensity forecast leans

closer to the global model guidance instead of the statistical-

dynamical guidance, which seems to weaken Harvey too fast. Harvey

could maintain tropical storm strength for the entire 5-day

forecast period due to its proximity to the northwestern Gulf of

Mexico.

 

Key Messages:

 

1. Harvey will make landfall tonight, bringing life-threatening

storm surge, rainfall, and wind hazards to portions of the Texas

coast. Tropical-storm-force winds have moved onshore in portions of

the warning areas and conditions will continue to deteriorate as

the eye of Harvey approaches the middle Texas coast tonight.

 

2. A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for much of the Texas coast.

Life-threatening storm surge flooding could reach heights of 6 to 12

feet above ground level at the coast between the north entrance of

the Padre Island National Seashore and Sargent. For a depiction of

areas at risk, see the Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic at

hurricanes.gov. Due to the slow motion of Harvey and a prolonged

period of onshore flow, water levels will remain elevated for

several days.

 

3. Catastrophic and life-threatening flooding is expected across the

middle and upper Texas coast from heavy rainfall of 15 to 30 inches,

with isolated amounts as high as 40 inches, through Wednesday.

Please refer to products from your local National Weather Service

office and the NOAA Weather Prediction Center for more information

on the flooding hazard.

 

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

 

INIT 25/2100Z 27.5N 96.5W 110 KT 125 MPH

12H 26/0600Z 28.2N 97.0W 100 KT 115 MPH...INLAND

24H 26/1800Z 28.8N 97.5W 75 KT 85 MPH...INLAND

36H 27/0600Z 28.9N 97.8W 60 KT 70 MPH...INLAND

48H 27/1800Z 28.6N 97.8W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND

72H 28/1800Z 28.1N 96.9W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND

96H 29/1800Z 28.5N 96.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...OVER WATER

120H 30/1800Z 29.5N 95.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND

[longhorn2004]

Not believing the computers on this one, computers stated this thing was suppose to be in Mexico. I am not believing that the eye will stay south of I-10.

[agp_mzk]

Happy to see more realistic and reasonable responses on this thread than the one on the RCI board, although I am very sorry for all who are having their travel plans upended by the storm. I hope any posters local to the area are taking appropriate precautions; I have one friend in Corpus Christi who has evacuated to San Antonio and another south of Houston who is riding out the storm on relatively high ground.

 

This amount of rainfall is nothing to mess around with, to say nothing of the wind and storm surge.

[Thorncroft]

Not believing the computers on this one, computers stated this thing was suppose to be in Mexico. I am not believing that the eye will stay south of I-10.

 

So far this storm has done everything that they said it was going to, since leaving the Yucatan.