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Honolulu Blue

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  1. I'm scheduled to be on the Horizon on October 31. It's currently unable to be booked, which looks bad, but it's one of Carnival's chosen ships for an early launch, so maybe they will have worked out the kinks involved in cruising in a pandemic world? I judge it to be about a 50-50 proposition to sail as scheduled. The next cruise after that is February 2021, not on Carnival.
  2. Good point. The rest of this post isn't aimed at you or anyone in particular; it's mostly about me trying to get my thoughts down. It seems likely that on these first cruises that revenue per person will be off, perhaps by a lot. Taking them source by source: Alcohol - I'm not sure how much is sold through room service and in the shops (less affected) as opposed to the bars, lounges, and restaurants (more affected) Shops - no more mega-sales with customers swarming the Promenade deck. Social distancing rules could hurt overall sales. Bingo - Problematic, but with social distancing it might work. I expect them to try. Casino - Land casinos are starting to open, I expect cruise casinos to to the same. Lots of social distancing and cleaning. Spas - Close person-to-person contact has always been problematic. I see them closed unless they somehow come up with a snake-oil-ish "cure" for COVID-19. Specialty restaurants - Depends on the restaurant(s) and the ships, but these could be OK. Capacity will be down due to social distancing. Excursions - I think at least some ports will limit where cruisers can go and this may also limit the number of excursions. Bus capacity will be limited, but this is less of a problem (I assume tour guides on even the most remote islands can snag another bus or two when needed)
  3. I saw an interesting article on MSN (from the Wall Street Journal) discussing superspreader events and how scientists are interpreting them to figure out how to move forward. Here's the link: https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/medical/superspreader-events-offer-a-clue-on-curbing-coronavirus/ar-BB14mzoD?ocid=NL_ENUS_A2_20200524_1_2 The TL,DR is that events with more than 50-100 people are big trouble and should be banned for now. This is very bad news for cruise ships, of course. Ships are filled with events and places of that capacity or more - safety briefings, shows in both the main lounge and the comedy lounge, the nightclub, Lido deck, the buffet area, and the MDRs for sure; and maybe the casino, the piano lounge and some of the specialty restaurants.
  4. I worry a bit about the elevators, but it's low on my priority list. There are a lot of ways to mitigate that risk, and I'm sure Carnival will use most of them. Much more worrisome, to me, is the MDR. The way it was run before this pause offers a whole bunch of ways to be infected, and capacity reductions will only affect some of them.
  5. I think a lot of things will be paused when the next virus waves hit. Cruises, being probably one of the last things to open up, I expect to be one of the first to be closed again. I'm sure that will be lots of fun for the cruise lines when it happens, again and again. 🤪
  6. Like I've posted on a few other threads, I'm looking forward to the reviews from such cruises - yours included. One problem is that in order to get to 50% capacity, they're probably going to have to kick out some people with booked, confirmed reservations. Here are a few ways they could do it: Chronological order - first to book keep their reservations By cabin type - Carnival may not be allowed to sail with any interior or possibly OV cabins in case of a quarantine By price paid for cabin - generally similar to the above, but with a closer eye to the bottom line Volunteers - if you've experienced an airline bump, this could be similar, only it would be done in advance. Would you take (for example) another $600 in FCC/OBC to forget about this trip? By age - it pains me to say it, but I see scenarios where they could do this. One thing that's been abundantly clear is that the elderly are MUCH more likely to have bad outcomes IF they catch the disease. It would make the CDC look bad to see ambulances (or worse, hearses) pull away from any U.S. port, and I'm sure Carnival has seen enough of it on their end too.
  7. I feel much the same. I have cruises in October and February. Maybe man's best friends will save us? https://www.msn.com/en-us/travel/news/special-detection-dogs-could-sniff-out-covid-19-at-airports/
  8. All excellent questions which I don't know if anyone has any answers to. Well, I can tell you that Grand Cayman isn't allowing any ships until at least September 1, so the earliest cruises won't be going there. I still say Carnival needs a lot to go right in a relatively short amount of time in order to get these sailings off by August 1. But if they can, I will be curious about what happens. Please share!
  9. I think there will be some cruise company or companies around to cruise if we have cruises at all in 2021. It's clear that there's demand for them and past history has taught us that they can be profitable if run well. The names may change, and also some of the ships, but someone will survive.
  10. I hear you, but the International Convention for the Safety of Life at Sea (SOLAS) mandates it be done the way it currently is and video can't, at this time, substitute for it. But it's extremely difficult to socially distance with the current ways the safety briefings on Carnival are run. So I think something has to give. Either we'll ignore distancing, run multiple drills, run it from the individual cabins by video as you suggested, or we'll have a vaccine/cure/treatment and we can get close together again. It will be interesting to see what happens on the first cruises. P.S. I've found more often that the announcements are LOUD enough to overwhelm everything than local conversation not allowing me to hear the announcements. I'm sure this is a case of YMMV.
  11. I'm intrigued. I like your logic. I really like Key West, but I'm not so sure they want us "dirty" cruise passengers yet (a few hundred people coming by car and staying in a local hotel is much easier to control, should they want to do that). New Orleans was really hot for a while, but that was six weeks or so ago and things are much better there now. And what is there to do for day travelers to Tampa. Put it this way... if they replaced my October cruise with either of your suggestions, I wouldn't be too disappointed. Also, if Mexico is willing to open up Cozumel, they might be willing to open up Costa Maya and/or Progreso (though most of the reviews I've seen of that port aren't very good).
  12. True. My mind was elsewhere. I apologize for the misinformation.
  13. Thanks for sharing this article. I found it interesting reading, even though not much of it was about Carnival Corp. or its ships. It's a reminder of how difficult it is to juggle the needs and wants of all the cruise lines, all the crew, and all the countries involved.
  14. It's tough for me to answer the question in your title without knowing you, so I won't and I'll answer this one instead. Why do I go back to Carnival? It's fun The other passengers can be fun and interesting The crew helps to keep a fun atmosphere without being obnoxious about it (mostly) The food is generally good It's not very formal The prices can be good
  15. I won't give an opinion on the itineraries, since I don't think my opinion would help much. I will, however, put my two cents in on a few issues you mentioned: Your daughter and her friends - 18 is a tricky age for cruise ships to handle. The younger kids go into their clubs, those 21+ can hang out in the casinos and at the various bars. Carnival had a club of sorts for the 18-20 crowd, but that seems to have gone away. The young 'uns may end up having to either hang out with you guys or with each other. I suggest finding roll calls (or similar gatherings elsewhere) and trying to find other parties with guests of similar ages. Eighteen - 18-year-olds can attend all the comedy shows (even the ones with the dirty words) and they should be OK in the nightclub. They might be able to get some drinks in port either because 18 is legal there or because they're, um, lax at checking IDs. Don't tell anyone I said that, but I'm sure they'll figure it out. 🤪 Music - If any of you are country music fans, you'll find a lot more of it on the Galveston ships. I hope my post was of some use, and I wish you a wonderful cruise - whichever one you choose.
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