Jump to content

mnocket

Members
  • Posts

    2,527
  • Joined

Everything posted by mnocket

  1. Different strokes I guess. DW and I rented a Twizy in Bermuda and enjoyed it. True it is hard to get in and out of for some people - there is no room for packages etc. - and no air conditioning, but if you just want to explore it's a blast. Was never told anything about a 72% limit on the battery and we sure ran it much lower without issue. That said.... it's certainly not for everyone. Just as I enjoyed it, I can easily see how others would hate it.
  2. You may be right. Fauci said it doesn't offer protection against infection, but I actually don't recall him addressing transmission. Unfortunately I think your study was conducted before BA.5 became the dominate strain, but it would likely still apply. You also have to consider that with previous strains vaccinations were preventing most infections - hence 0% transmission from those who weren't infected. With BA.5 many of those vaccinated people are getting infected and transmitting, albeit perhaps for a shorter duration. It would be interesting to see what percentage of the surge in infections are traceable to vaccinated vs unvaccinated, but I haven't seen any data on this. It may be impossible to determine.
  3. Differing opinions - that's what makes a market. One person buys because they foresee the stock price rising and the counterparty sells because they foresee the price dropping. Everyone is free to look at the numbers and reach their own conclusion. To clarify one thing..... The analysis/numbers I presented were not mine. They are from investing sites that I use. In this case the links are... https://docoh.com/company/815097/CCL https://www.investing.com/equities/carnival-corp-exch-balance-sheet Your analysis may be right and they may be wrong, but they're a couple of the sources that I've been using to help inform my investment decisions.
  4. Keep in mind that runway and cash on hand are related, but not the same thing. Runway is essentially how many months will your current cash will last. CCL's cash has remained relatively stable the past 2 years, but this is because they have continued to raise additional cash by selling bonds. The result...debt has increased from $9.7B (11/30/2019) to $22.1B (11/30/2020) to $28.5B (11/30/2021) and stood at $29.2B on 5/31/2022. So cash has remained stable because they keep taking on more and more debt. In truth, cash has taken a dip in the past several quarters so this stock sale is to refill the coffers. At the same time that they are taking on more debt to sustain operations, their operating income remains severely in the red fluctuating between a quarterly loss of $1.5B-$2.0B each quarter (hence the need to continue to raise more case). Now add in the fact that some of this debt is coming to maturity and must be repaid and their runway is indeed getting short. Simplified ..... Runway = Cash/Burn Rate Burn Rate can be calculated several different ways , but the simplest is to look at change in cash (this takes into account not only operating loss but other expenses like debt repayment). Using this method there is a monthly burn rate of $841M yielding runway of 2.9 months. Now if we only look at Operating Loss the Burn Rate would be $497M/month yielding a runway of 8.2 months, but keep in mind that this only considers Operating Loss. So yes, CCL still has cash, but they also have a short runway. Unless there is a dramatic change in their business, they will need to raise even more cash beyond this stock sale. The problem is that their avenues for raising additional cash are narrowing and growing even more expensive. It's too early to call it a death spiral, but it's not a pretty picture - even with their cash.
  5. I'm not sure why vaccination status should matter any longer. As Dr. Fauci has said, vaccinations don't protect against infection with the current dominant strain, but they do protect against serious illness. Vaccinated people are now just as likely to contract and pass on Covid as unvaccinated people.
  6. Yeah, remember back whey they all were saying things like "we have enough cash to support operations for at least the next 18 months" ? Well they have now run out of runway and need to raise more cash to stay operational. This, along with the obvious dilution of offering more shares, is having the predictable effect on the stock prices. CCL was first, but I suspect we'll see the other major lines following suit in the near future.
  7. Excellent post! People associate bed bugs with low-end establishments, but bed bugs don't really care how much you paid for the room - they can, and will, show up in the best establishments. Also, they are rarely seen. Infestations are usually detected by getting bitten or by traces left behind by the bed bugs (often called "dirt"). It is actually pretty difficult to identify a bed bug problem on a freshly made bed.
  8. My bet is that they will treat it like the flu and you will be asked to stay in your cabin - no more formal quarantine in inside cabins on a segregated deck. Of course, I often lose my bets.
  9. I just read that San Diego Schools are going to require masks again. UNBELIEVEABLE!
  10. The most likely change will be that the world accepts that Covid is here to stay and becomes treated like the flu - annual vaccinations recommended & no rigorous testing/quarantine regiments. If you get sick you stay in your cabin and are not treated like a leper.
  11. Yeah and unfortunately there isn't a vaccine or any therapeutics available for it😷 There's Long Covid and Long Wait Times. Coincidence? I think not.
  12. Again I agree. It's a business decision. Is Customer Service where they want to invest their available budget. I'm not saying I wouldn't make the same decision if I were them. In the larger scheme of things, it may be understandable that Customer Service isn't a top priority to them when they allocate budget. It's just more than a bit annoying to hear how valuable they consider me while I sit on hold for extended periods. Just say, as other do, "We are experiencing a high level of calls and apologize for the long wait times". Or even better... "We are experiencing a high level of calls and apologize for the long wait times. Estimated wait time is XX minutes. If you prefer please press 1 and we will return you call". Just, please, don't keep telling me how much you value me - my time is worth money too.
  13. Oh I agree. Poor customer service seems to have become a pandemic of it's own.
  14. Agree 100%. Unfortunately it seems their current calculus is that poor customer service is not costing them business.πŸ˜•
  15. Does anyone really think that long hold times are a surprise to the executives? I mean every call center has robust statistics (in real time) concerning things like wait time. It's purely a business decision.... "how much are willing to pay to reduce wait times?". The answer..... not enough to actually do it.
  16. Starlink is intended to those who have no other option for high speed internet (I'm one & I have Starlink). As someone who previously had no other option than slow internet (avg 1Mbps), paying more for Starlink was an easy sell. For those who have broadband available (e.g. cable, fiber, etc.) Starlink doesn't make sense. As you point out it's more expensive and probably much slower than what you already have. A cruise ship in the middle of the ocean is a perfect fit for Starlink. They already offer several tiers of service at different prices (i.e. Residential, Business & RV). I expect there will be unique pricing for cruise ships. It makes perfect sense. There's surely a need and Starlink satellites orbit over both land and sea - while over the ocean they are sitting idle.
  17. I'm curious why so many feel poor customer service is not the company's fault. Sure it's hard to find new employees, but if it's something that is truly very important to the business (i.e. "your call is very important to us") - you pay up to attract the number of employees you need. The issue is rarely that there aren't any job seekers available - the issue is there aren't any job seekers who are willing to work for your company (pay and perks). If staffing customer service was really a top priority - it would be done.
  18. One time a friend of ours bought a sail-away gift (chocolate strawberries, sparkling wine) to be delivered to our cabin. We found out about this after we returned home and she asked if we enjoyed her gift (probably a bit ticked off that we hadn't thanked her). Nothing ever showed up in the cabin and we never would have known about it if she hadn't said something.
  19. I've got no problem with the forking fee - it's the spoon fee that always gets to me😁
  20. Yeah I really mucked things up by not being precise in my wording. By "departing" I meant leaving the ship at the end of the cruise.
  21. As I said, they were anecdotal reports from recent cruisers. Reports I doubt - hence my asking if anyone knew of any published data on the topic. Until recently cruisers were required to test at the end of the cruise, so the cruise lines (and the CDC?) have such data. While I doubt the 20% number, it got me thinking..... I really don't know how many people test positive at the end of their cruises - i.e. what is the actual risk of contracting Covid on a cruise? it would be nice to know this. It would help us all to make informed decisions.
  22. Exactly, and the first led to the second. fyi Both were accurate statements (unless you still question that I've read several reports).
  23. @Hlitner Kinda surprised at the tone of your response Hank. I've always found you to be pretty even in temperament. I was asking the question because I too doubted the reports I'd read and wondered if there were any statistics available. Since pre-departure testing was previously required, until recently this data was being gathered - so not unreasonable to ask if it's available anywhere. @CruiserBruce & @klfrodo The reason I asked is because I'd read it a couple of times and doubted it was accurate. The most recent was I'm not going to take the time to search for the other reports. Yes they are anecdotal, that's why I asked if there were published statistics.
  24. I've seen several such reports and I'm having trouble believing them. Are there any reliable statistics on this?
Γ—
Γ—
  • Create New...