What did I misrepresent. They give an educated (granted) guess (yup, that is what it is) on path intensity and strength. People base their actions on these guesses. I know there are many factors, but in the real life scenario, the storm changes, against science, past history and the experts. Happens more often than not and it affects the way people react to the various levels of notice given. the affect of that is that the crying wolf so many times for such a large variety of paths and timing, makes people become immune, which can have disastrous results. Recently (Ian in September 22, after the storm they said the cone was just a “guide”. Might have better to say that before the storm…. The storm (up to 6 hours before) was supposed to hit north of Tampa. The reality was a miss by 120 miles. Too late for some to react. Obviously they do the best they can do. But that said, I would give them a grade on C-