Rare OzKiwiJJ Posted March 16, 2020 #1 Share Posted March 16, 2020 Just for a bit of fun post a prediction for when you think cruising will recommence in various regions. One point for each correct prediction, I'll keep a spreadsheet. 1. Australia/NZ/South Pacific 2. Asia out of Singapore 3. Japan 4. China 5. Alaska 6. Caribbean 7. Mediterranean 8. Baltic If you think of any I've missed let me know. Hmmm! I'll have to think about this. 😄 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VK3DQ Posted March 16, 2020 #2 Share Posted March 16, 2020 41 minutes ago, OzKiwiJJ said: Just for a bit of fun post a prediction for when you think cruising will recommence in various regions. One point for each correct prediction, I'll keep a spreadsheet. 1. Australia/NZ/South Pacific 2. Asia out of Singapore 3. Japan 4. China 5. Alaska 6. Caribbean 7. Mediterranean 8. Baltic If you think of any I've missed let me know. Hmmm! I'll have to think about this. 😄 hi Well I think later rather than sooner , I guess that it will take two years to return to anything near normality . One of the huge deciding factors will be if the requirement for a medical certificate for the over 70's remains If so many including myself will never cruise again Would not like to divide the market geography its now a world market Regards John 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kiwi_cruiser Posted March 16, 2020 #3 Share Posted March 16, 2020 (edited) As I got a cruises booked for the South Pacific to Fiji on the 23rd June 2020 on Princess, I will say sometime in May 2020 or early June 2020. Alaska - As I got another cruise booked in Aug 2020 on Princess, I will say July or early Aug 2020. Edited March 16, 2020 by Kiwi_cruiser Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aus Traveller Posted March 16, 2020 #4 Share Posted March 16, 2020 5 minutes ago, VK3DQ said: Well I think later rather than sooner , I guess that it will take two years to return to anything near normality . One of the huge deciding factors will be if the requirement for a medical certificate for the over 70's remains If so many including myself will never cruise again Would not like to divide the market geography its now a world market Regards John Not all cruise lines require the medical certificate for over 70s. I understand that NCL does, but do any other cruise lines? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aus Traveller Posted March 16, 2020 #5 Share Posted March 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, Kiwi_cruiser said: As I got a cruises booked for the South Pacific to Fiji on the 23rd June 2020 on Princess, I will say sometime in May 2020 or early June 2020. Alaska - As I got another cruise booked in Aug 2020 on Princess, I will say July or early Aug 2020. I am optimistic, but not as optimistic as you. 🙂 I think it will be Sept-Oct 2020 at least before life gets anywhere back to normal. One Australian medical expert said that he expects the peak of the virus to run until July and that he is "booking things" for November. Presumably he thinks things will be back to normal by then. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VK3DQ Posted March 16, 2020 #6 Share Posted March 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, Aus Traveller said: Not all cruise lines require the medical certificate for over 70s. I understand that NCL does, but do any other cruise lines? I thought most of the lines required something similar now???? Regards John Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vader1111 Posted March 16, 2020 #7 Share Posted March 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, VK3DQ said: I thought most of the lines required something similar now???? Regards John It's a CLIA requirement. Royal were going to ban passengers aged 70+ as of today, until they cancelled all cruises completely. No medical letter, just a straight ban. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LittleFish1976 Posted March 16, 2020 #8 Share Posted March 16, 2020 1 hour ago, OzKiwiJJ said: Just for a bit of fun post a prediction for when you think cruising will recommence in various regions. One point for each correct prediction, I'll keep a spreadsheet. 1. Australia/NZ/South Pacific - October, 2020 2. Asia out of Singapore - February, 2021 3. Japan - March, 2021 4. China - February, 2021 5. Alaska - November, 2020 6. Caribbean - February, 2021 7. Mediterranean - March/April, 2021 8. Baltic - November, 2020 9. Antarctica/ South America - March, 2021 Hope I get extra points for following the correct format! This is going to take a long time to pass. I'm booked for Antarctica/ Patagonian Fjords next March, 2021. Not sure if I'll be able to afford to go by then! We'll all have lots of time to dream about our future cruises. 1 hour ago, OzKiwiJJ said: If you think of any I've missed let me know. Hmmm! I'll have to think about this. 😄 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rare OzKiwiJJ Posted March 16, 2020 Author #9 Share Posted March 16, 2020 One person used the correct format. One bonus point for you, LittleFish1976! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LittleFish1976 Posted March 16, 2020 #10 Share Posted March 16, 2020 1 minute ago, OzKiwiJJ said: One person used the correct format. One bonus point for you, LittleFish1976! Yes!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rare OzKiwiJJ Posted March 16, 2020 Author #11 Share Posted March 16, 2020 Revised list: 1. Australia/NZ/South Pacific 2. Asia out of Singapore 3. Japan 4. China 5. Alaska 6. Caribbean 7. Mediterranean 8. Baltic 9. South America & Antarctica Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
possum52 Posted March 16, 2020 #12 Share Posted March 16, 2020 (edited) 1 hour ago, OzKiwiJJ said: 1. Australia/NZ/South Pacific October 2020 2. Asia out of Singapore Nov 2020 3. Japan March 2021 4. China April 2021 5. Alaska May 2021 6. Caribbean October 2020 7. Mediterranean May 2021 8. Baltic May 2021 9. South America and Antarctica November 2020 Edited March 16, 2020 by possum52 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aus Traveller Posted March 16, 2020 #13 Share Posted March 16, 2020 45 minutes ago, VK3DQ said: I thought most of the lines required something similar now???? Regards John No. Princess and P&O Aust don't. As far as I know, it is only NCL that mentioned the requirement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
possum52 Posted March 16, 2020 #14 Share Posted March 16, 2020 1 minute ago, Aus Traveller said: No. Princess and P&O Aust don't. As far as I know, it is only NCL that mentioned the requirement. And RCI who also decided if you you have a chronic illness whatever age you couldn’t board. Leigh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rare OzKiwiJJ Posted March 16, 2020 Author #15 Share Posted March 16, 2020 1. Australia/NZ/South Pacific – November 2020 2. Asia out of Singapore - November 2020 3. Japan – March 2021 4. China – April 2021 5. Alaska – May 2021 6. Caribbean – February 2021 7. Mediterranean – May 2021 8. Baltic – May 2021 9. South America & Antarctica – September 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aus Traveller Posted March 16, 2020 #16 Share Posted March 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, possum52 said: And RCI who also decided if you you have a chronic illness whatever age you couldn’t board. Leigh Presumably chronic illness might include asthma and diabetes. That would affect a lot of people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
possum52 Posted March 16, 2020 #17 Share Posted March 16, 2020 Just now, Aus Traveller said: Presumably chronic illness might include asthma and diabetes. That would affect a lot of people. Yes plus heart conditions. These conditions can be controlled very well and many would live good lives. Leigh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rare OzKiwiJJ Posted March 16, 2020 Author #18 Share Posted March 16, 2020 43 minutes ago, LittleFish1976 said: 7. Mediterranean - March/April, 2021 One or t'other please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rare MMDown Under Posted March 16, 2020 #19 Share Posted March 16, 2020 47 minutes ago, LittleFish1976 said: Yes!!! Thanks for the laugh. Top marks for enthusiasm!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SinbadThePorter Posted March 16, 2020 #20 Share Posted March 16, 2020 2 hours ago, OzKiwiJJ said: 1. Australia/NZ/South Pacific - August 2020 2. Asia out of Singapore - July 2020 3. Japan - September 2020 4. China - August 2020 5. Alaska - June 2020 6. Caribbean - June 2020 7. Mediterranean - November 2020 8. Baltic - September 2020 With a caveat to #1. I think cruises in Australian waters only will restart in June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peter1956 Posted March 16, 2020 #21 Share Posted March 16, 2020 21 minutes ago, OzKiwiJJ said: 1. Australia/NZ/South Pacific – November 2020 2. Asia out of Singapore - November 2020 3. Japan – March 2021 4. China – April 2021 5. Alaska – May 2021 6. Caribbean – February 2021 7. Mediterranean – May 2021 8. Baltic – May 2021 9. South America & Antarctica – September 2021 This but all 3 months later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SinbadThePorter Posted March 16, 2020 #22 Share Posted March 16, 2020 26 minutes ago, Aus Traveller said: Presumably chronic illness might include asthma and diabetes. Chronic only means persistent. It could for example be a persistent cough with no underlying serious medical condition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trevor Fountain Posted March 16, 2020 #23 Share Posted March 16, 2020 Long term I think the cruise industry are going to suffer tremendously. By the time this is over we may not have any cruise lines left. How long do you think a business can survive without customers? On here we are all cruising fanatics, but make up a very small proportion of cruisers. If you had never previously cruised, would you seriously think about boarding a ship knowing what has occurred since this outbreak began? Weeks being kept prisoner in a cabin, many being insides with no natural light. I love cruising, but from now on, if I ever do get back on a ship, it would only be if I can afford a balcony. I really hope my doom and gloom is ill founded, but there are certainly rough seas ahead. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LittleFish1976 Posted March 16, 2020 #24 Share Posted March 16, 2020 I'm so happy to see most people are even more pessimistic than I am! 1 hour ago, OzKiwiJJ said: One or t'other please. Hmmm, okay; late March, then. My crystal ball was telling me March/April but I'll acquiesce. Thanks OzKiwiJJ for this fun thread - we need this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rare aussielozzie18 Posted March 16, 2020 #25 Share Posted March 16, 2020 I know Alaska season is only May to Sept but not sure of the months the others operate so here is my guess 1. Aust/NZ/South Pacific - Jan 2021 with limited itineraries & ships that are here year round including one from Royal for the first time. 2. Asia - May 2021 3. Japan - March 2021 4. China - 2022 whichever month the season starts 5. Alaska - May 2021 6. Carribbean - May 2021 7. Mediterranean - 2022 whichever month the season starts 8. Baltic - 2022 whichever month the season starts 9. South America/Antarctica - May 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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